Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.068949 0.080919 0.094280 0.110288 0.128941 0.149984 0.175521
2025-08-03 0.051391 0.067245 0.086868 0.112903 0.146510 0.188400 0.244570
2025-08-10 0.041557 0.059154 0.082743 0.116593 0.163848 0.227405 0.319334
2025-08-17 0.032753 0.050016 0.074746 0.112620 0.169032 0.249812 0.374163
2025-08-24 0.027378 0.044432 0.070304 0.112214 0.178212 0.277932 0.439838
2025-08-31 0.023063 0.039534 0.065841 0.110652 0.184815 0.302362 0.502465
2025-09-07 0.020423 0.036788 0.064172 0.112985 0.197474 0.337269 0.585577
2025-09-14 0.017693 0.033386 0.060815 0.111824 0.203882 0.362411 0.655324
2025-09-21 0.015206 0.029981 0.056888 0.108965 0.206711 0.381466 0.716512
2025-09-28 0.013076 0.026879 0.053015 0.105551 0.207886 0.397431 0.773710
2025-10-05 0.012002 0.025647 0.052436 0.108202 0.220622 0.435757 0.876773
2025-10-12 0.010910 0.024198 0.051208 0.109359 0.230503 0.469686 0.975266
2025-10-19 0.009896 0.022785 0.049910 0.110305 0.240315 0.505108 1.082155
2025-10-26 0.009064 0.021639 0.049014 0.111979 0.251892 0.545541 1.204586
2025-11-02 0.008468 0.020932 0.048952 0.115438 0.267712 0.596574 1.355601
2025-11-09 0.007404 0.018956 0.045782 0.111463 0.266534 0.611188 1.429306
2025-11-16 0.006714 0.017771 0.044255 0.111052 0.273368 0.644053 1.547611
2025-11-23 0.006037 0.016511 0.042368 0.109504 0.277293 0.670750 1.654900
2025-11-30 0.005651 0.015939 0.042073 0.111813 0.290788 0.721054 1.823720
2025-12-07 0.005127 0.014916 0.040499 0.110664 0.295547 0.751167 1.947344
2025-12-14 0.004584 0.013750 0.038394 0.107834 0.295639 0.769912 2.045040
2025-12-21 0.004080 0.012613 0.036200 0.104455 0.293840 0.783703 2.131805
2025-12-28 0.003867 0.012293 0.036194 0.107079 0.308472 0.841051 2.338572